Future global electricity demand load curves

نویسندگان

چکیده

The rapidly increasing electricity demand and the expected increase in contribution of variable renewable energy sources raise need for looking at characteristics long-term variations. Furthermore, changes (e.g., penetration electric vehicles) could affect shape future load curves. However, integrated assessment models often assume a constant shape. In this research, curves is determined with global scope exploratory scenarios analysis within models. This was done by using empirical data on daily patterns different end-uses aggregating them end-use annual from IMAGE model. regional hourly aggregated modelled vary over years projected variation temperature variations sectors to total demand. Results under shared socioeconomic pathway two show that depict low time large sensitivity vehicle charging patterns.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energy

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1873-6785', '0360-5442']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124741